This post focuses on sharing addtional forecasts for the 2024 freight market coming from Cass Information Systems and Arrive Logistics.
While Cass adopts a more definitive stance, Arrive Logistics approaches with caution, mindful of unforeseen events that could disrupt their optimistic market forecast.
Expecting stable to increasing rates driven by robust labor markets and balanced inventories, Arrive nevertheless alerts to potential upheavals. Red Sea shipping disruptions and a contracting Panama Canal may exacerbate west coast port congestion, favoring intermodal transport, altering routing strategies, and applying downward pressure on contract rates, inching closer to spot prices.
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While Cass acknowledges the potential disruptions predicted for the transportation market in 2024, they place less emphasis on their impact.
Betting heavily on the robust jobs market and declining interest rates, Cass foresees these factors driving the much-needed improvement in the freight industry. Regardless, industry insiders unanimously anticipate a forthcoming recovery, with the effects likely felt by the end of Q2.
Only time will unveil the veracity of these projections.